Possibly Surprising Insights on the Future of Work

Trade unionists are gathering this week at the ACTU's triennial Congress in Brisbane.  Jim Stanford, Director of the Centre for Future Work, participated in a panel on the Future of Work (an apt title!) at the Congress.

Here is his presentation: 5 Possibly Surprising Insights on the Future of Work.

More detail on the issues raised in his presentation is provided in the Centre's recent submission to the Senate Inquiry on the Future of Work and the Future of Workers.


Centre for Future Work at #ACTUCongress18

Trade unionists from across Australia are gathering in Brisbane this week for the 2018 Congress of the Australian Council of Trade Unions.  And the Centre for Future Work will be there!

Come and check out our information booth in the exhibitors' area: meet our staff, learn more about our work, and sign up for updates.

Our Director Jim Stanford will be presenting as part of a session on The Future of Work (good title!), Tuesday July 17 at 2:15 pm in conference room P1.

And we will be distributing copies of this brochure with links to some of our most recent research.

We are glad that our research can support the campaign to #ChangeTheRules!

 


Penalty Rate Cuts: Where's the Jobs Boom??

On 1 July 2018, workers in several retail and hospitality industries will experience a second reduction in the penalty rates they receive for working on Sundays and public holidays.  The reductions were ordered by the Fair Work Commission, and follow an initial reduction imposed on 1 July 2017.

Employer representatives argued that by reducing labour costs for work on Sundays and holidays, lower penalty rates would spur a big expansion in employment, via both new hiring and longer hours for existing workers.  One lobbyist predicted 40,000 new jobs.  Another said improved employment was "a certainty."

But a new report from the Centre for Future Work has examined employment and working hours in the retail and hospitality industries in the year since the first penalty rate reduction.  Far from spurring a jobs boom in the two sectors, they have actually significantly underperformed the rest of the economy on all of the indicators considered.

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Advanced Skills for Advanced Manufacturing

Australia's manufacturing industry is at a crossroads.  After years of decline, the sector has finally found a more stable economic footing, and many indicators point to an expansion in domestic  manufacturing in the coming years.  Manufacturing added almost 50,000 new jobs in the last year - making it one of the most important sources of new work in the whole economy.

However, one key factor that could hold back that continuing recovery is the inability of Australia’s present vocational education and training system, damaged by years of underfunding and failed policy experimentation, to meet the needs of manufacturing for highly-skilled workers.  The skills challenge facing manufacturing is all the more acute because of the transformation of the sector toward more specialised and disaggregated advanced manufacturing  processes.  This naturally implies greater demand for highly-trained workers, in all its occupations: production workers, licensed trades, technology specialists, and managers.

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Insecure work: The New Normal

Most Australians know in their guts that it's pretty hard to find a traditional permanent job these days.  And now the statistics confirm it: less than half of employed Australians have one of those "standard" jobs.  And more than half experience one or more dimensions of insecurity: including part-time, irregular, casual, contractor, and marginally self-employed jobs.

In this commentary article published originally by Ten Daily, Our Director Dr. Jim Stanford summarises the findings of the Centre's recent report on "The Dimensions of Insecure Work."

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The Dimensions of Insecure Work

Less than half of employed Australians now hold a “standard” job: that is, a permanent full-time paid job with leave entitlements.  That’s the startling finding of a new report on the growing insecurity of work published by the Centre for Future Work.

The report, The Dimensions of Insecure Work: A Factbook, reviews eleven statistical indicators of the growth in employment insecurity over the last five years: including part-time work, short hours, underemployment, casual jobs, marginal self-employment, and jobs paid minimum wages under modern awards.

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The Importance of Public Services in Regional NSW

Jobs providing essential public services – like health care, education, safety, parks, and more – are a pillar of strength in Australia's labour market.  Public sector jobs are generally good jobs, with decent pay and more security than is typical of many private sector positions.  The strategic importance of public sector work is all the more visible in regional communities.  Job-creation in private businesses hasn't been adequate to meet the needs of most regional communities, as private activity is increasingly concentrated in the major cities.  So good jobs in schools, hospitals, and public administration are essential to the well-being of regional towns.  Public service workplaces in smaller communities also function as economic "anchors": keeping the local economy well grounded, and supporting many spin-off jobs in the private sector (in consumer goods and services, transportation, construction, and more).

Unfortunately, the positive economic potential of public sector work in regional communities has been undermined in recent years by misguided policies of fiscal austerity, which have placed more emphasis on cutting government spending than on supporting regional communities.  A new report from the Centre for Future Work documents the erosion of public sector work in regional communities in NSW, relative to overall labour market growth.  From 2011 to 2016 alone, this relative shrinkage was equivalent to the loss of 6000 public sector jobs in regional communities in the state.  Of the 20 communities which experienced the greatest loss of public sector jobs in NSW in that period, 18 were located in regional NSW.

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A Comprehensive and Realistic Strategy for More and Better Jobs

The Australian Council of Trade Unions has released a major policy paper outlining an ambitious, multi-faceted program to address the chronic shortage of work, and the steady erosion of job quality, in Australia.  The full paper, Jobs You Can Count On, is available on the ACTU's website.  It contains specific proposals to stimulate much stronger job-creation, reduce unemployment and underemployment, improve job quality (including through repairs to Australia's industrial relations system), and ensure that all communities (including traditionally marginalised populations like indigenous peoples, women, youth, and people with disability) have full access to the decent work opportunities that the plan would generate.

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Raising the Bar: Government Spending Power and Labour Standards

Australian governments could help to solve the problem of stagnating wages by better leveraging their own spending power in support of better wages and working conditions.  That’s the conclusion of new research from the Centre for Future Work at the Australia Institute on the connection between government spending and procurement and working conditions across the economy.

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Wage Increases Beat Tax Cuts Any Day

The Coalition government’s 2018 budget features a plan to cut personal income taxes for many Australians over the next several years. The government claims it wants to reward lower- and middle-income wage-earners with tax savings.  However, the biggest personal tax reductions would not be experienced until 2022 and beyond (after at least two more federal elections).  And the biggest savings go to those with incomes over $200,000 per year (the richest 3 percent of tax-filers).

Our Briefing Note on the 2018 Budget explores the relationships between wages and taxes, and shows that working to reverse the recent unprecedented wage stagnation is the key to achieving ongoing improvements in living standards - not pre-election tweaks in the tax code.

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